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63 · Business · Product Strategy

Outcome Roadmapping & Product Portfolio

Builds outcome-based roadmaps and portfolio choices with evidence, dependencies and stop criteria.

product-roadmappingportfolio-managementstrategic-betsnow-next-laterroadmapprodukt-roadmapportfolioszenarioplanung

Outcome Roadmapping & Product Portfolio · Original SKILL.md

---
name: product-roadmapping-and-portfolio
description: >-
  Build and maintain outcome-based product roadmaps and portfolio views that
  sequence strategic bets by evidence, not dates. Covers Now/Next/Later views,
  strategic-bet management, capacity allocation, dependency and confidence
  mapping, scenario planning, continue/pause/kill/revisit criteria, stakeholder
  narratives, and roadmap review cadences. Use when building or reviewing a
  product roadmap, managing a portfolio of bets, or communicating strategic
  sequencing to stakeholders. Do NOT use for tactical prioritization mechanics
  (RICE, MoSCoW, Kano, OST — route to product-methodology or product-strategy),
  for project scheduling or Gantt charts, or for delivery-flow management
  (route to kanban-guru).
license: MIT
compatibility: Agent harness with file read/write and skill loading
metadata:
  tags: product-roadmapping, portfolio-management, strategic-bets, outcome-roadmaps,
    now-next-later, scenario-planning, roadmap-communication
---

# Product Roadmapping and Portfolio Management

Build roadmaps that communicate strategic intent without pretending to predict the future. This skill covers outcome-based sequencing, strategic-bet management, and portfolio-level choices — not feature-level prioritization or project scheduling.

## Core Principles

1. **Roadmaps are not project schedules.** A roadmap communicates strategic direction and sequencing intent. It does not commit to dates by default. The default view is Now/Next/Later; dates appear only when explicitly labeled as commitments.

2. **Distinguish four categories in every artifact.** Every roadmap output separates evidence (observed data), assumptions (beliefs not yet validated), commitments (decisions with consequences for reversal), and options (alternatives under consideration).

3. **Bets, not plans.** Each roadmap item is a strategic bet — an investment with an expected outcome, a confidence level, explicit dependencies, and pre-defined continue/pause/kill/revisit criteria. A roadmap is a portfolio of bets, not a to-do list.

4. **Portfolio thinking scales up and down.** The same bet-record and roadmap structure works for a single product and for a portfolio of products.

## Loading Guide

| File | Load when |
|---|---|
| [references/outcome-roadmapping.md](references/outcome-roadmapping.md) | Building or reviewing a Now/Next/Later outcome roadmap |
| [references/strategic-bets.md](references/strategic-bets.md) | Defining, evaluating, or comparing strategic bets |
| [references/dependency-confidence-view.md](references/dependency-confidence-view.md) | Mapping cross-bet dependencies or calibrating confidence |
| [references/scenario-comparison.md](references/scenario-comparison.md) | Comparing alternative futures or building scenario plans |
| [references/roadmap-review-cadence.md](references/roadmap-review-cadence.md) | Designing or running a roadmap review process |
| [references/discovery-brief.md](references/discovery-brief.md) | Understanding ownership boundaries and routing rules |
| [templates/outcome-roadmap.md](templates/outcome-roadmap.md) | Fillable Now/Next/Later roadmap template |
| [templates/bet-record.md](templates/bet-record.md) | Fillable strategic-bet record |
| [templates/roadmap-review-record.md](templates/roadmap-review-record.md) | Recording a roadmap review session |

## Working Method

### 1. Start with outcomes, not features
Define outcomes as measurable "from → to" statements. Route evidence to `product-analytics-and-measurement`.

### 2. Map the Now/Next/Later landscape
Now = committed (WIP-limited), Next = validated/provisional, Later = options only. Dates only when labeled as commitments.

### 3. Build bet records
Every bet: outcome hypothesis, evidence, confidence (H/M/L with rationale), risk, dependencies, capacity, continue/pause/kill/revisit criteria.

### 4. Map dependencies and confidence
Blocking, enabling, shared-capacity, external dependencies. Effective confidence bounded by dependency health.

### 5. Compare scenarios
Base case + alternative scenarios for consequential decisions. Identify robust, conditional, fragile bets.

### 6. Define review cadence
Monthly for Now, quarterly for Next/Later. Record decisions with rationale.

### 7. Communicate to stakeholders
Executive narrative, team view, external/customer view — each tailored.

## Routing Table

| When the task involves... | Route to... |
|---|---|
| RICE scoring, MoSCoW prioritization, OST workflow | [product-methodology](../product-methodology/SKILL.md) — canonical tactical owner |
| Kano model, OST strategic framing, competitive positioning | [product-strategy](../product-strategy/SKILL.md) — strategic frameworks |
| Capital allocation, M&A portfolio choices | [strategy-frameworks](../strategy-frameworks/SKILL.md) — corporate strategy |
| Delivery flow, WIP limits, throughput, cycle time | [kanban-guru](../kanban-guru/SKILL.md) — execution-level flow |
| Evidence, metrics, analytics instrumentation | `product-analytics-and-measurement` — analytics layer (prose reference) |
| Implementation planning for approved bets | `implementation-planning` — handoff target (prose reference) |
| Experiment design for low-confidence bets | `product-experimentation` — downstream consumer (prose reference) |
| Adoption measurement for shipped bets | `product-adoption` — downstream consumer (prose reference) |
| Lifecycle learning from bet outcomes | `product-lifecycle-learning` — downstream consumer (prose reference) |

## When Not to Use

- **For tactical prioritization mechanics** (RICE scores, MoSCoW buckets, Kano categorization, OST trees): route to `product-methodology` or `product-strategy`. This skill references these frameworks only to describe *where* they fit, never to re-explain formulas or mechanics.
- **For cross-project program coordination** (integrated dependencies, shared capacity, program benefits, or transformation delivery): route to [technical-program-management](../technical-program-management/SKILL.md). This skill sequences product bets; it does not coordinate their technical program execution.
- **For project scheduling, Gantt charts, or milestone tracking:** route to [technical-project-management](../technical-project-management/SKILL.md) for ongoing project control; use [implementation-planning](../implementation-planning/SKILL.md) for detailed planning of approved work. This skill owns outcome roadmaps.
- **For delivery-flow management:** route to `kanban-guru`.
- **For corporate capital allocation and M&A portfolio decisions:** route to `strategy-frameworks`.
- **For shaping a single bet** (setting its appetite, narrowing it into a bounded
  problem, writing its pitch): route to `product-shaping`. This skill sequences bets
  across cycles at the portfolio level; shaping packages one bet before it enters a
  roadmap — "strategic bet" here means a roadmap entry with sequencing criteria, not
  the shaped single-project commitment that `product-shaping` produces.

## Evidence, Assumptions, Commitments, and Options

Every roadmap artifact distinguishes these four categories:

| Category | Definition | Example |
|---|---|---|
| **Evidence** | Observed data, validated learning, experiment results | "A/B test showed 12% lift in retention (p < 0.05, n=4,200)" |
| **Assumptions** | Beliefs not yet validated | "We assume users grant notification permissions at ~40%" |
| **Commitments** | Decisions with defined consequences for reversal | "Q3: 8 engineer-weeks for payments migration" |
| **Options** | Alternatives under consideration | "Build in-house vs. integrate third-party" |

An artifact that mixes assumptions into evidence or presents options as commitments is not a valid output of this skill.

When to use

Builds outcome-based roadmaps and portfolio choices with evidence, dependencies and stop criteria.

What you get

The complete original method, source attribution and declared delivery limits.

How it works

Clarify the decision context and evidence, apply the framework, then name unresolved questions and accountable next steps.

Requirements

Strategic objectives, evidence, constraints, dependencies, capacity and accountable portfolio owner.

Delivery and review notes

Original documentation is published by Magnus Hedemark under the repository MIT license at the pinned revision. The unchanged original is supplied as planning guidance. Referenced files, scripts, runtimes and sibling skills are not bundled or installed. Validate current facts, legal/compliance interpretations, business metrics and operational decisions with accountable owners. Loading the text does not authorize deployments, code changes, customer outreach, account changes or other external actions.

Starting prompt

Use Outcome Roadmapping & Product Portfolio for [TASK]. Establish Strategic objectives, evidence, constraints, dependencies, capacity and accountable portfolio owner. Separate evidence from assumptions and return a bounded recommendation with open questions. Do not claim approval, execution or current facts without evidence.

Not for

Promising delivery dates, committing resources or replacing tactical delivery planning.

What M11 added

M11 added German routing and scope limits. Original documentation is published by Magnus Hedemark under the repository MIT license at the pinned revision. The unchanged original is supplied as planning guidance. Referenced files, scripts, runtimes and sibling skills are not bundled or installed. Validate current facts, legal/compliance interpretations, business metrics and operational decisions with accountable owners. Loading the text does not authorize deployments, code changes, customer outreach, account changes or other external actions.

Original authorship remains with magnus919/agent-skills · Original source ↗

Original license & copyright

MIT License

Copyright (c) 2026 Magnus Hedemark

Permission is hereby granted, free of charge, to any person obtaining a copy
of this software and associated documentation files (the "Software"), to deal
in the Software without restriction, including without limitation the rights
to use, copy, modify, merge, publish, distribute, sublicense, and/or sell
copies of the Software, and to permit persons to whom the Software is
furnished to do so, subject to the following conditions:

The above copyright notice and this permission notice shall be included in all
copies or substantial portions of the Software.

THE SOFTWARE IS PROVIDED "AS IS", WITHOUT WARRANTY OF ANY KIND, EXPRESS OR
IMPLIED, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO THE WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY,
FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE AND NONINFRINGEMENT. IN NO EVENT SHALL THE
AUTHORS OR COPYRIGHT HOLDERS BE LIABLE FOR ANY CLAIM, DAMAGES OR OTHER
LIABILITY, WHETHER IN AN ACTION OF CONTRACT, TORT OR OTHERWISE, ARISING FROM,
OUT OF OR IN CONNECTION WITH THE SOFTWARE OR THE USE OR OTHER DEALINGS IN THE
SOFTWARE.

Source SHA-256: a7551138ef0dc0bdadca0f589b24072433fc8dddc2601253a4284711b9dbc6a2
Snapshot checked: 2026-09-28T17:49:59.961Z

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